NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign FC W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes NJ/NY Gotham FC W the pick at 55% for NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign FC W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
NJ/NY Gotham FC W host Seattle Reign FC W on 8 November 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. NJ/NY Gotham FC W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This quarter finals fixture in NWSL Women is listed as NJ/NY Gotham FC W - Seattle Reign FC W. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
NJ/NY Gotham FC W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 13 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 0.62 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Seattle Reign FC W: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 8 conceded in ten matches, 1.7 and 0.8 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | Seattle Reign FC W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 8th |
| Goal difference | +16 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDW | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 6 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 0.62 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.19 | 2.3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.3 | 59.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 62.3 versus Seattle Reign FC W 59.3, a gap of 3.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W's way at 58%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards NJ/NY Gotham FC W at 55%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts NJ/NY Gotham FC W's way, especially at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NJ/NY Gotham FC W or Seattle Reign FC W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% NJ/NY Gotham FC W, 23% the draw and 22% Seattle Reign FC W.
When and where is NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign FC W being played?
8 November 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Seattle Reign FC W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Seattle Reign FC W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W have taken 10 points from their last five (WWLDW), Seattle Reign FC W 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently NJ/NY Gotham FC W took a 2-0 win at home to Utah Royals W and Seattle Reign FC W a 1-0 win at home to Orlando Pride W.
How many goals are expected in NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W and 1.40 for Seattle Reign FC W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.