Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Kimberley Mar del Plata the pick at 59% for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kimberley Mar del Plata host Olimpo Bahia Blanca on 8 November 2026. Kimberley Mar del Plata are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This quarter finals fixture in Torneo Federal A is listed as Kimberley Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kimberley Mar del Plata: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +6.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kimberley Mar del Plata | Olimpo Bahia Blanca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +6 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWD | WDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 2 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.5 | 57.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 17% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.50, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 42%.
- First goal: Leans Kimberley Mar del Plata's way at 60%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Kimberley Mar del Plata at 59%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kimberley Mar del Plata or Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Kimberley Mar del Plata, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Kimberley Mar del Plata, 24% the draw and 17% Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
When and where is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Kimberley Mar del Plata and Olimpo Bahia Blanca met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kimberley Mar del Plata and Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Kimberley Mar del Plata have taken 9 points from their last five (DDWWD), Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 from theirs (WDLDW). Most recently Kimberley Mar del Plata took a 1-1 draw at home to Argentino Monte Maíz and Olimpo Bahia Blanca a 1-0 win at home to Gimnasia Concepción.
How many goals are expected in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.50 — 1.00 for Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.50 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 42%, so its call is no.