Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Kimberley Mar del Plata on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Olimpo Bahia Blanca host Kimberley Mar del Plata on 15 November 2026. Kimberley Mar del Plata are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This quarter finals fixture in Torneo Federal A is listed as Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley Mar del Plata. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Olimpo Bahia Blanca: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +9.
Kimberley Mar del Plata: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 8th |
| Goal difference | +9 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLDW | DDWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 4 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.2 | 56.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.50, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Kimberley Mar del Plata's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Kimberley Mar del Plata is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Olimpo Bahia Blanca or Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Kimberley Mar del Plata, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 31% Olimpo Bahia Blanca, 33% the draw and 36% Kimberley Mar del Plata.
When and where is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Kimberley Mar del Plata met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca have taken 8 points from their last five (WDLDW), Kimberley Mar del Plata 9 from theirs (DDWWD). Most recently Olimpo Bahia Blanca took a 1-0 win at home to Gimnasia Concepción and Kimberley Mar del Plata a 1-1 draw at home to Argentino Monte Maíz.
How many goals are expected in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.50 — 0.50 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca and 1.00 for Kimberley Mar del Plata. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.