Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Thailand U23 the pick at 46% for Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Thailand U23 face Qatar U23 on 12 November 2026. Thailand U23 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Thailand U23 - Qatar U23. Kick-off is 08:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Thailand U23: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Qatar U23: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Thailand U23 | Qatar U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWL | LDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 14 | 5 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Thailand U23's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Thailand U23 at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Thailand U23 or Qatar U23?
Thailand U23, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Thailand U23, 25% the draw and 29% Qatar U23.
When and where is Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23 being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 08:00 UTC.
Have Thailand U23 and Qatar U23 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Thailand U23 and Qatar U23?
Thailand U23 have taken 6 points from their last five (LLWWL), Qatar U23 4 from theirs (LDWLL). Most recently Thailand U23 took a 0-3 defeat away at China PR U23 and Qatar U23 a 0-3 defeat at home to Al-Khor.
How many goals are expected in Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Thailand U23 and 1.35 for Qatar U23. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.