Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Scotland U21 the pick at 46% for Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Scotland U21 host Ukraine U21 on 12 November 2026. Scotland U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Scotland U21 - Ukraine U21. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Scotland U21: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Ukraine U21: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Scotland U21 | Ukraine U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDW | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Scotland U21's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Scotland U21 at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Scotland U21 or Ukraine U21?
Scotland U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Scotland U21, 25% the draw and 29% Ukraine U21.
When and where is Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Scotland U21 and Ukraine U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Scotland U21 and Ukraine U21?
Scotland U21 have taken 10 points from their last five (WWLDW), Ukraine U21 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently Scotland U21 took a 2-0 win away at Bulgaria U21 and Ukraine U21 a 2-2 draw at home to Albania U21.
How many goals are expected in Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Scotland U21 and 1.35 for Ukraine U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.