Lithuania vs Suriname match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes Lithuania the pick at 46% for Lithuania vs Suriname. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Lithuania face Suriname on 12 November 2026. Lithuania are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Lithuania - Suriname. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lithuania: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Suriname: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Lithuania | Suriname |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWL | LDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 3 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Lithuania's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Lithuania at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lithuania or Suriname?
Lithuania, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Lithuania, 25% the draw and 29% Suriname.
When and where is Lithuania vs Suriname being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Lithuania and Suriname met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lithuania and Suriname?
Lithuania have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDWL), Suriname 7 from theirs (LDWWL). Most recently Lithuania took a 0-1 defeat away at Azerbaijan and Suriname a 0-1 defeat away at Guatemala.
How many goals are expected in Lithuania vs Suriname?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Lithuania and 1.35 for Suriname. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.