Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Korea Republic U21 the pick at 46% for Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Mexico U23 travel to Korea Republic U21 on 14 November 2026. Korea Republic U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Korea Republic U21 - Mexico U23. Kick-off is 07:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Korea Republic U21: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored three and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Mexico U23: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Korea Republic U21 | Mexico U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLL | LDLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 6 | 7 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Korea Republic U21's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Korea Republic U21 at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Korea Republic U21 or Mexico U23?
Korea Republic U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Korea Republic U21, 25% the draw and 29% Mexico U23.
When and where is Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23 being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 07:00 UTC.
Have Korea Republic U21 and Mexico U23 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Korea Republic U21 and Mexico U23?
Korea Republic U21 have taken 4 points from their last five (WDLLL), Mexico U23 5 from theirs (LDLWD). Most recently Korea Republic U21 took a 2-1 win at home to Indonesia U20 and Mexico U23 a 1-3 defeat at home to Japan U19.
How many goals are expected in Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Korea Republic U21 and 1.35 for Mexico U23. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.