Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Korea Republic U21 the pick at 45% for Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Korea Republic U21 host Mexico U23 on 17 November 2026. Korea Republic U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Korea Republic U21 - Mexico U23. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Korea Republic U21: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored three and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Mexico U23: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored seven and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Korea Republic U21 | Mexico U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLL | LDLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 6 | 7 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Korea Republic U21's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Korea Republic U21 at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Korea Republic U21 or Mexico U23?
Korea Republic U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Korea Republic U21, 26% the draw and 29% Mexico U23.
When and where is Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23 being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Korea Republic U21 and Mexico U23 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Korea Republic U21 and Mexico U23?
Korea Republic U21 have taken 4 points from their last five (WDLLL), Mexico U23 5 from theirs (LDLWD). Most recently Korea Republic U21 took a 2-1 win at home to Indonesia U20 and Mexico U23 a 1-3 defeat at home to Japan U19.
How many goals are expected in Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Korea Republic U21 and 1.35 for Mexico U23. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.