Ukraine U21 vs USA U21: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ukraine U21 the pick at 45% for Ukraine U21 vs USA U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ukraine U21 face USA U21 on 17 November 2026. Ukraine U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Ukraine U21 - USA U21. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ukraine U21: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
USA U21: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ukraine U21 | USA U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWDL | LWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 11 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Ukraine U21's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Ukraine U21 at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ukraine U21 or USA U21?
Ukraine U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Ukraine U21, 26% the draw and 29% USA U21.
When and where is Ukraine U21 vs USA U21 being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Ukraine U21 and USA U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ukraine U21 and USA U21?
Ukraine U21 have taken 5 points from their last five (LDWDL), USA U21 9 from theirs (LWWWL). Most recently Ukraine U21 took a 0-4 defeat away at Scotland U21 and USA U21 a 0-1 defeat at home to Uzbekistan U23.
How many goals are expected in Ukraine U21 vs USA U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Ukraine U21 and 1.35 for USA U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.