Portugal U21 vs Norway U21: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Portugal U21 the pick at 45% for Portugal U21 vs Norway U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Norway U21 travel to Portugal U21 on 17 November 2026. Portugal U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Portugal U21 - Norway U21. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Portugal U21: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Norway U21: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Portugal U21 | Norway U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 2 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Portugal U21's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Portugal U21 at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Portugal U21 or Norway U21?
Portugal U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Portugal U21, 26% the draw and 29% Norway U21.
When and where is Portugal U21 vs Norway U21 being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Portugal U21 and Norway U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Portugal U21 and Norway U21?
Portugal U21 have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Norway U21 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently Portugal U21 took a 2-0 win at home to Czech Republic U21 and Norway U21 a 1-1 draw at home to Israel U21.
How many goals are expected in Portugal U21 vs Norway U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Portugal U21 and 1.35 for Norway U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.