Martinique vs Aruba — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Martinique the pick at 49% for Martinique vs Aruba. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Martinique face Aruba on 17 November 2026. Martinique are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This play In Final fixture in CONCACAF Nations League is listed as Martinique - Aruba. Kick-off is 00:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Martinique: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Aruba: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Martinique | Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLL | DLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 41%.
- First goal: Leans Martinique's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Martinique at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Martinique or Aruba?
Martinique, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Martinique, 33% the draw and 18% Aruba.
When and where is Martinique vs Aruba being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Martinique and Aruba?
Aruba 0-0 Martinique on 12 November 2026.
What is the recent form of Martinique and Aruba?
Martinique have taken 5 points from their last five (DDWLL), Aruba 10 from theirs (DLWWW). Most recently Martinique took a 0-0 draw away at Aruba and Aruba a 0-0 draw at home to Martinique.
How many goals are expected in Martinique vs Aruba?
It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 41%, so its call is no.