Club Nacional vs Albion FC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Club Nacional the pick at 49% for Club Nacional vs Albion FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Club Nacional host Albion FC on 14 November 2026 at Gran Parque Central, Montevideo. Club Nacional are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This clausura 14 fixture in Primera División is listed as Club Nacional - Albion FC. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Club Nacional: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +11.
Albion FC: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.1 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Club Nacional | Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +11 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | DWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.8 | 69.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Club Nacional 67.8 versus Albion FC 69.1, a gap of 1.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.67, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Club Nacional's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Club Nacional at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Club Nacional's way, especially at Gran Parque Central.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Club Nacional or Albion FC?
Club Nacional, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Club Nacional, 26% the draw and 25% Albion FC.
When and where is Club Nacional vs Albion FC being played?
14 November 2026 at Gran Parque Central, Montevideo, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Club Nacional and Albion FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Club Nacional and Albion FC?
Club Nacional have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), Albion FC 10 from theirs (DWWLW). Most recently Club Nacional took a 2-1 win away at Deportivo Maldonado and Albion FC a 0-0 draw at home to Deportivo Maldonado.
How many goals are expected in Club Nacional vs Albion FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.67 — 1.00 for Club Nacional and 1.67 for Albion FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.