Wanderers vs Juventud: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Juventud the pick at 40% for Wanderers vs Juventud. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Wanderers face Juventud on 16 November 2026. Juventud are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This clausura 14 fixture in Primera División is listed as Wanderers - Juventud. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Wanderers: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -2.
Juventud: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored three and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Wanderers | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | DLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 12 | 3 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.8 | 40.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Wanderers 37.8 versus Juventud 40.2, a gap of 2.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.30, over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Juventud's way at 46%.
The call
The model edges towards Juventud at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Juventud's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wanderers or Juventud?
Juventud, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 30% Wanderers, 30% the draw and 40% Juventud.
When and where is Wanderers vs Juventud being played?
16 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Wanderers and Juventud met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Wanderers and Juventud?
Wanderers have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), Juventud 5 from theirs (DLWDL). Most recently Wanderers took a 0-4 defeat away at Lito and Juventud a 1-1 draw away at Liverpool Montevideo.
How many goals are expected in Wanderers vs Juventud?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.30 — 0.50 for Wanderers and 0.80 for Juventud. It rates over 2.5 goals at 36%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.