NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Kansas City W: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes NJ/NY Gotham FC W the pick at 58% for NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Kansas City W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
NJ/NY Gotham FC W host Kansas City W on 15 November 2026 at Icahn Stadium. NJ/NY Gotham FC W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This semi finals fixture in NWSL Women is listed as NJ/NY Gotham FC W - Kansas City W. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
NJ/NY Gotham FC W: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 13 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 0.62 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Kansas City W: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 1.7 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 78.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | Kansas City W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 4th |
| Goal difference | +16 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 3 | 12 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.29 / 0.62 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.19 | 1.8 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.3 | 78.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 22% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): NJ/NY Gotham FC W one win, Kansas City W one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2-1 Kansas City W on 15 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 62.3 versus Kansas City W 78.8, a gap of 16.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards NJ/NY Gotham FC W at 58%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts NJ/NY Gotham FC W's way, especially at Icahn Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NJ/NY Gotham FC W or Kansas City W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% NJ/NY Gotham FC W, 20% the draw and 22% Kansas City W.
When and where is NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Kansas City W being played?
15 November 2026 at Icahn Stadium, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Kansas City W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2-1 Kansas City W on 15 August 2026.
What is the recent form of NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Kansas City W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W have taken 10 points from their last five (WWWLD), Kansas City W 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently NJ/NY Gotham FC W took a 1-0 win at home to Seattle Reign FC W and Kansas City W a 1-0 win at home to Angel City W.
How many goals are expected in NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Kansas City W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.40 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W and 1.80 for Kansas City W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.