Egypt U21 vs Japan U21 match summary and prediction — Friendlies
Our model makes Egypt U21 the pick at 45% for Egypt U21 vs Japan U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Egypt U21 face Japan U21 on 17 November 2026. Egypt U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Egypt U21 - Japan U21. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Egypt U21: Match-by-match form is incomplete in our feed for this competition, so the table and the model carry the weight here. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Japan U21: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and two defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. Across those four they scored five and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Egypt U21 | Japan U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | — | WWLL |
| Points from last 5 | — | 6 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Egypt U21's way at 53%.
- Double chance: Widening it out, Egypt U21 or draw is rated 71% and Japan U21 or draw 55%, with anything but a stalemate at 74%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Egypt U21 at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Egypt U21 or Japan U21?
Egypt U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Egypt U21, 26% the draw and 29% Japan U21.
When and where is Egypt U21 vs Japan U21 being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Egypt U21 and Japan U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
How many goals are expected in Egypt U21 vs Japan U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Egypt U21 and 1.35 for Japan U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.