Poland U21 vs Serbia U21: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Poland U21 the pick at 45% for Poland U21 vs Serbia U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Poland U21 host Serbia U21 on 17 November 2026. Poland U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as Poland U21 - Serbia U21. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Poland U21: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded seven, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Serbia U21: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Poland U21 | Serbia U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 7 | 11 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Poland U21's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Poland U21 at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Poland U21 or Serbia U21?
Poland U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Poland U21, 26% the draw and 29% Serbia U21.
When and where is Poland U21 vs Serbia U21 being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Poland U21 and Serbia U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Poland U21 and Serbia U21?
Poland U21 have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Serbia U21 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Poland U21 took a 2-6 defeat away at Italy U21 and Serbia U21 a 2-1 win at home to Russia U21.
How many goals are expected in Poland U21 vs Serbia U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Poland U21 and 1.35 for Serbia U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.